Infusing Domain Knowledge into Gaussian Process Regression: Portable Prediction Model for Indoor Temperature

Lu Wan1,2, Xiaobing Dai3, Mai Chatani1, Jan Gall1, Ekaterina Petrova2, Pieter Pauwels2
1 Advanced Energy Systems, Robert Bosch GmbH, Germany
2 Department of the Built Environment, Eindhoven University of Technology, Netherlands
3 Chair of Information-oriented Control, Technical University of Munich, Germany
DOI: 10.35490/EC3.2025.233
Abstract: Accurate indoor temperature prediction models are essential for smart building control systems. Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) is widely used due to its prediction accuracy and error guarantees. However, real-life applications face challenges, including GPR’s poor scalability with large datasets and the manual selection of input features. This study employs LoG-GP, a distributed GPR method, for continuous model updating and fast predictions.The wrapper method is used for sensitivity analysis to identify optimal input features for various building types. A metadata-driven workflow is proposed to automate feature selection and dataset retrieval, achieving computationally efficient, accurate, and adaptable models tested on new buildings.
Keywords: Data-driven prediction, Gaussian process regression, Input feature selection, Ontologies

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