Transition Dynamics in Residential Heating Systems: An Agent-Based Modeling Approach

Abstract: The urgent global need to reduce carbon emissions has intensified the focus on transitioning to sustainable energy solutions. Residential heating is a significant contributor to greenhouse gas emissions. As such, understanding the factors influencing this shift towards more sustainable heating solutions is critical. This study employs an Agent-based Model to examine the dynamics of adopting sustainable residential heating systems, with a special emphasis on the transition to a gas-free community. The model integrates individual household preferences, financial capabilities, environmental concerns, and social influences to understand the collective transition. The paper illustrated the methodology through a numerical simulation.